5. REFERENCES

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BEIS (2022)a. 2020 UK Greenhouse Gas Emissions. Available at:

https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/final-uk-greenhouse-gas-emissions-national-statistics-1990-to-2020

Accessed September 2022

BEIS (2022)b. 2021 UK Provisional Greenhouse Gas Emissions. Available at: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1064921/2021-uk-ghg-provisional-figures-statistical-summary.pdf.  Accessed September 2022

BEIS (2022)c. British Energy Security Strategy. Available at: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/british-energy-security-strategy/british-energy-security-strategy#renewables

Bett, Thornton & Clark (2017). Using the Twentieth Century Reanalysis to assess climate variability for the European wind industry. Theoretical and Applied Climatology. 127, pp.61-80

Burrows, M., Hughes D., Austin, W.E.N., Smeaton, C., Hicks, N.,  Howe, J.,  Allen, C., Taylor, P., & Vare, L. (2017). Assessment of Blue Carbon Resources in Scotland's Inshore Marine Protected Area Network: Commissioned Report No 957.

Chan, S.C.; Dale, M.; Fowler, H.J.; Kendon, E.J. (2022). Extreme precipitation return level changes at 1, 3, 6, 12, 24 hours for 2050 and 2070, derived from UKCP Local Projections on a 5km grid for the FUTURE-DRAINAGE Project. NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis, 31 October 2022. doi:10.5285/18f83caf9bdf4cb4803484d8dce19eef. http://dx.doi.org/10.5285/18f83caf9bdf4cb4803484d8dce19eef Available at: https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/18f83caf9bdf4cb4803484d8dce19eef?search_url=%2F%253Fq%253DFUTURE-DRAINAGE%2B%26sort_by%253Drelevance%26results_per_page%253D20

Circular Ecology (2022). Embodied Carbon – The ICE Database. Available at: https://circularecology.com/embodied-carbon-footprint-database.html Accessed September 2022

CCC (2013). Reducing the UK’s carbon footprint. Available at: http://www.theccc.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2013/04/Reducing-carbon-footprint-report.pdf Accessed September 2022

CCC (2021). COP26: Key Outcomes and next steps for the UK. Available at: https://wwwtheccc.org.uk/publication/cop26-key-outcomes-and-next-steps-for-the-uk/. Accessed September 2022

CCC (2022). Progress in reducing emissions 2022 Report to Parliament. Available at: https://www.theccc.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Progress-in-reducing-emissions-2022-Report-to-Parliament.pdf. Accessed November 2022

Dale, M. (2021). Future Drainage Guidance for Water and Sewerage Companies and Flood Risk Management Authorities: Recommended uplifts for applying to design storms. Available at: https://artefacts.ceda.ac.uk/badc_datadocs/future-drainage/FUTURE_DRAINAGE_Guidance_for_applying_rainfall_uplifts.pdf

Defra (2022). Greenhouse gas reporting: conversion factors 2022. Available at: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/greenhouse-gas-reporting-conversion-factors-2022 Accessed September 2022

Department for Transport (2022). Closed consultation. Domestic maritime decarbonisation: the course to net zero emissions. Available at: https://www.gov.uk/government/consultations/domestic-maritime-decarbonisation-the-course-to-net-zero-emissions

EMEP/EEA (2019). Air pollutant emission inventory guidebook 2019. Available at: https://www.eea.europa.eu/themes/air/air-pollution-sources-1/emep-eea-air-pollutant-emission-inventory-guidebook  Accessed September 2022

Hdidouan, D., & Staffell, I. (2017). The impact of climate change on the levelised cost of wind energy. Renewable energy, 101, 575-592.

 

IEMA (2020). Environmental Impact Assessment Guide to: Climate Change Resilience & Adaptation. Available at: https://iema.net/resources/reading-room/2020/06/26/iema-eia-guide-to-climate-change-resilience-and-adaptation-2020

IEMA (2022). Environmental Impact Assessment Guide to: Assessing Greenhouse Gas Emissions. Available at: https://www.iema.net/resources/blog/2022/02/28/launch-of-the-eia-guidance-on-assessing-ghg-emissions

IPCC (2014). Fifth Assessment Report, Climate Change 2014. Available at: https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/wg2/

IPCC (2018). Special Report: Global Warming of 1.5°C. Available at: https://unfccc.int/topics/science/workstreams/cooperation-with-the-ipcc/ipcc-special-report-on-global-warming-of-15-degc

IPCC (2021). Sixth Assessment Report, Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Available at: https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/ Accessed September 2022

IPCC (2022). Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability, Summary for Policymakers of the Sixth Assessment Report. Available at: https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg2/

Marine Scotland Licensing Operations Team (2022). Scoping Opinion for Berwick Bank Wind Farm. Available at: Scoping Opinion – Berwick Bank Offshore Wind Farm | Marine Scotland Information. Accessed: February 2022.

Met Office (2018). UKCP18 Science Overview Report, November 2018. Available at: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/ukcp18/science-reports/UKCP18-Overview-report.pdf Accessed September 2022

Met Office (2019). UKCP18 Factsheet: Wind. (2019). Met Office Hadley Centre. Source: ukcp18-fact-sheet-wind_march21.pdf (metoffice.gov.uk)

Met Office; Hollis, D.; McCarthy, M.; Kendon, M.; Legg, T.; Simpson, I. (2021): HadUK-Grid Gridded Climate Observations on a 1km grid over the UK, v1.0.3.0 (1862-2020). NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis, 08 September 2021. doi:10.5285/786b3ce6be54468496a3e11ce2f2669c. Available at: http://dx.doi.org/10.5285/786b3ce6be54468496a3e11ce2f2669c Accessed September 2022

National Grid (2022a). How can SF6 production be reduced? Available at: https://www.nationalgrid.com/stories/energy-explained/what-is-sf6-sulphur-hexafluoride-explained Accessed September 2022

National Grid (2022b). Sulphur Hexafluoride. Available at: https://www.nationalgrid.co.uk/customers-and-community/environment/sulphur-hexafluoride-sf6 Accessed September 2022

RenewableUK (undated). Renewable UK Wind Energy Statistics Explained. Available at: https://www.renewableuk.com/page/UKWEDExplained Accessed September 2022

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[1] The offshore components of the Project include the following: the offshore wind farm (the wind turbines, their foundations and associated inter-array cabling), together with associated transmission infrastructure including Offshore Substation Platforms (OSPs)/Offshore convertor station platforms, their foundations and the offshore export cables and cable protection. The offshore Proposed Development array area is located in the outer Firth of Forth and Firth of Tay, approximately 37.8 km east of the Scottish Borders coastline (St. Abb’s Head) and 47.6 km to the East Lothian coastline. For further details see the Offshore EIA Report, volume 1, chapter 3.

[2] The onshore components of the Project include the following: cable landfall at Skateraw on the East Lothian coast, onshore substation, onshore cables within a cable corridor between the cable landfall and the new onshore substation, and between the new onshore substation and the National Grid Branxton substation; and associated ancillary infrastructure. For further details see the Onshore EIA Report, volume 1, chapter 5.

[3] Includes carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases included with the Kyoto Protocol. Details about each of the Kyoto Protocol GHGs can be found here: Global Warming Potentials (IPCC Second Assessment Report) | UNFCCC

[4] Target not shown in Table 2-3, but noted on the website given as the table’s source.

[5] UK shipping is required to meet net zero by 2050 at the latest, and international shipping has a target to reduce emissions by at least 50% by 2050, and to decarbonise as soon as possible, as noted in the Department for Transport’s Transport Decarbonisation Plan, 2021. In addition, Operation Zero, launched in 2021, is an initiative to accelerate the decarbonisation of the operations and maintenance vessels in the North Sea offshore wind sector, with a view to making zero-emission operations and maintenance vessels a reality by 2025.

[6] The load factor for the Project is confidential and could not be used in the Effect on Climate assessment.

[7] In July 2022, National Grid Electricity Systems Operator (NGESO) announced as part of its Holistic Network Review, that the Applicant has signed an agreement for an additional grid connection at Blyth, Northumberland (referred to as the Cambois connection). Necessary consents for the Cambois connection will be applied for separately once further development work has been undertaken on this export cable corridor route and landfall. These applications will be supported by an EIA and Habitats Regulations Appraisal (HRA). The Cambois connection has been included as a cumulative project for the purposes of the EIA and assessed based on the information presented in the Cambois Connection Scoping Report submitted in November 2022 (SSER, 2022).

[8] Data available from https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/uk-climate-averages/gcynwfb7z

[9] Some of the modelled climate data are from a detailed analysis in Edinburgh to the west of the site, but changes in rainfall and windspeed can be applied as percent changes to Dunbar station to build a local picture.

[10] Met Office UK climate averages; Dunbar (East Lothian): https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/uk-climate-averages/gcynwfb7z

[11] Met Office UK climate averages: Royal Botanical Garden Edinburgh (Edinburgh): https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/uk-climate-averages/gcvwqb#?nearestTo=your%20detected%20location

[12] Q50 is the 50 percentile flow, signifying medium flows. Q95 is the 95 percentile flow, signifying low flows.

[13] The 50th percentile represents the warming midpoint for the ensemble data.

[14] The 5th to 95th percentile range in climate projections are used to analyse the range of climate responses. Including the low (5th) and high (95th) percentile ensures that the range of uncertainty within climate models is taken into account.

[15] Berwick Bank Windfarm: Technical Appendix 11.1: Flood Risk Assessment

[16] As described in section 3.4.7, the Cambois connection will export electricity from the offshore Proposed Development array area to the National Grid via a grid connection at Blyth near Cambois, Northumberland. It would only be constructed if the Project is implemented. For further details refer to section 3.4.7.