Guillemot

Table 4.6: Potential guillemot mortality following displacement from the Berwick Bank Development Array in the breeding season. Estimates considered, in light of empirical evidence, to represent the most realistic scenarios are colour coded, with dark teal representing rates advised by the Scoping Opinion; orange representing rates defined by the Developer Approach; and light teal representing uncertainty around these figures.

Guillemot

 

(Breeding season)

Mortality Level

(% of displaced birds at risk of mortality)

Displacement Level

(% of all birds on site)

 

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

10%

15%

20%

30%

50%

80%

100%

0%

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

10%

0

60

120

180

239

299

597

896

1194

1791

2985

4776

5969

20%

0

120

239

359

478

597

1194

1791

2388

3582

5969

9551

11938

30%

0

180

359

538

717

896

1791

2687

3582

5373

8954

14326

17908

40%

0

239

478

717

956

1194

2388

3582

4776

7163

11938

19101

23876

50%

0

299

597

896

1194

1493

2985

4477

5969

8954

14923

23876

29845

60%

0

359

717

1075

1433

1791

3582

5373

7163

10745

17908

28652

35815

70%

0

418

836

1254

1672

2090

4179

6268

8357

12535

20892

33427

41784

80%

0

478

956

1433

1911

2388

4776

7163

9551

14326

23876

38202

47752

90%

0

538

1075

1612

2149

2687

5373

8059

10745

16117

26861

42977

53721

100%

0

597

1194

1791

2388

2985

5969

8954

11938

17907

29845

47752

59690


Table 4.7: Potential guillemot mortality following displacement from the Berwick Bank Development Array plus 2 km buffer in the breeding season. Estimates considered, in light of empirical evidence, to represent the most realistic scenarios are colour coded, with dark teal representing rates advised by the Scoping Opinion; orange representing rates defined by the Developer Approach; and light teal representing uncertainty around these figures.

Guillemot

 

(Breeding season)

Mortality Level

(% of displaced birds at risk of mortality)

Displacement Level

(% of all birds on site)

 

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

10%

15%

20%

30%

50%

80%

100%

0%

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

10%

0

75

149

223

297

371

742

1113

1484

2225

3708

5933

7416

20%

0

149

297

445

594

742

1484

2225

2967

4450

7416

11865

14831

30%

0

223

445

668

890

1113

2225

3337

4450

6674

11124

17797

22247

40%

0

297

594

890

1187

1484

2967

4450

5933

8899

14831

23730

29662

50%

0

371

742

1113

1484

1854

3708

5562

7416

11124

18539

29662

37077

60%

0

445

890

1335

1780

2225

4450

6674

8899

13348

22247

35594

44493

70%

0

520

1039

1558

2077

2596

5191

7787

10382

15573

25954

41527

51908

80%

0

594

1187

1780

2373

2967

5933

8899

11865

17797

29662

47459

59324

90%

0

668

1335

2003

2670

3337

6674

10011

13348

20022

33370

53391

66739

100%

0

742

1484

2225

2967

3708

7416

11124

14831

22247

37077

59324

74154

 

Table 4.8: Potential guillemot mortality following displacement from the Berwick Bank Development Array in the non-breeding season. Estimates considered, in light of empirical evidence, to represent the most realistic scenarios are colour coded, with dark teal representing rates advised by the Scoping Opinion; orange representing rates defined by the Developer Approach; and light teal representing uncertainty around these figures.

Guillemot

 

(Non-breeding season)

Mortality Level

(% of displaced birds at risk of mortality)

Displacement Level

(% of all birds on site)

 

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

10%

15%

20%

30%

50%

80%

100%

0%

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

10%

0

35

69

103

137

171

341

511

681

1022

1702

2724

3404

20%

0

69

137

205

273

341

681

1022

1362

2043

3404

5447

6808

30%

0

103

205

307

409

511

1022

1532

2043

3064

5106

8170

10212

40%

0

137

273

409

545

681

1362

2043

2724

4085

6808

10893

13616

50%

0

171

341

511

681

851

1702

2553

3404

5106

8510

13616

17019

60%

0

205

409

613

817

1022

2043

3064

4085

6127

10212

16339

20423

70%

0

239

477

715

954

1192

2383

3574

4766

7148

11914

19062

23827

80%

0

273

545

817

1090

1362

2724

4085

5447

8170

13616

21785

27231

90%

0

307

613

920

1226

1532

3064

4596

6127

9191

15318

24508

30635

100%

0

341

681

1022

1362

1702

3404

5106

6808

10212

17019

27231

34038

 

Table 4.9: Potential guillemot mortality following displacement from the Berwick Bank Development Array plus 2 km buffer in the non-breeding season. Estimates considered, in light of empirical evidence, to represent the most realistic scenarios are colour coded, with dark teal representing rates advised by the Scoping Opinion; orange representing rates defined by the Developer Approach; and light teal representing uncertainty around these figures.

Guillemot

 

(Non-breeding

season)

Mortality Level

(% of displaced birds at risk of mortality)

Displacement Level

(% of all birds on site)

 

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

10%

15%

20%

30%

50%

80%

100%

0%

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

10%

0

45

89

133

177

221

442

663

884

1326

2209

3534

4418

20%

0

89

177

266

354

442

884

1326

1767

2651

4418

7068

8835

30%

0

133

266

398

531

663

1326

1988

2651

3976

6626

10602

13252

40%

0

177

354

531

707

884

1767

2651

3534

5301

8835

14135

17669

50%

0

221

442

663

884

1105

2209

3313

4418

6626

11043

17669

22086

60%

0

266

531

796

1061

1326

2651

3976

5301

7951

13252

21203

26503

70%

0

310

619

928

1237

1546

3092

4638

6184

9276

15460

24736

30920

80%

0

354

707

1061

1414

1767

3534

5301

7068

10602

17669

28270

35337

90%

0

398

796

1193

1591

1988

3976

5964

7951

11927

19877

31804

39754

100%

0

442

884

1326

1767

2209

4418

6626

8835

13252

22086

35337

44171