Razorbill

Table 4.10: Potential razorbill mortality following displacement from the Berwick Bank Development Array in the breeding season. Estimates considered, in light of empirical evidence, to represent the most realistic scenarios are colour coded, with dark teal representing rates advised by the Scoping Opinion; orange representing rates defined by the Developer Approach; and light teal representing uncertainty around these figures.

Razorbill

 

(Breeding season)

Mortality Level

(% of displaced birds at risk of mortality)

Displacement Level

(% of all birds on site)

 

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

10%

15%

20%

30%

50%

80%

100%

0%

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

10%

0

4

7

10

13

16

31

46

61

92

153

244

305

20%

0

7

13

19

25

31

61

92

122

183

305

487

609

30%

0

10

19

28

37

46

92

137

183

274

457

731

913

40%

0

13

25

37

49

61

122

183

244

366

609

974

1217

50%

0

16

31

46

61

77

153

229

305

457

761

1217

1521

60%

0

19

37

55

74

92

183

274

366

548

913

1461

1826

70%

0

22

43

64

86

107

213

320

426

639

1065

1704

2130

80%

0

25

49

74

98

122

244

366

487

731

1217

1947

2434

90%

0

28

55

83

110

137

274

411

548

822

1369

2191

2738

100%

0

31

61

92

122

153

305

457

609

913

1521

2434

3042

 

Table 4.11: Potential razorbill mortality following displacement from the Berwick Bank Development Array plus 2 km buffer in the breeding season. Estimates considered, in light of empirical evidence, to represent the most realistic scenarios are colour coded, with dark teal representing rates advised by the Scoping Opinion; orange representing rates defined by the Developer Approach; and light teal representing uncertainty around these figures.

Razorbill

 

(Breeding season)

Mortality Level

(% of displaced birds at risk of mortality)

Displacement Level

(% of all birds on site)

 

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

10%

15%

20%

30%

50%

80%

100%

0%

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

10%

0

5

9

13

17

21

41

61

81

122

202

324

404

20%

0

9

17

25

33

41

81

122

162

243

404

647

808

30%

0

13

25

37

49

61

122

182

243

364

607

970

1213

40%

0

17

33

49

65

81

162

243

324

485

808

1293

1616

50%

0

21

41

61

81

101

202

303

404

606

1010

1616

2020

60%

0

25

49

73

97

122

243

364

485

728

1213

1940

2425

70%

0

29

57

85

114

142

283

425

566

849

1415

2263

2829

80%

0

33

65

97

130

162

324

485

647

970

1616

2586

3232

90%

0

37

73

110

146

182

364

546

728

1091

1818

2909

3636

100%

0

41

81

122

162

202

404

606

808

1212

2020

3232

4040

Table 4.1227: Potential razorbill mortality following displacement from the Berwick Bank Development array in the non-breeding season. Estimates considered, in light of empirical evidence, to represent the most realistic scenarios are colour coded, with dark teal representing rates advised by the Scoping Opinion; orange representing rates defined by the Developer Approach; and light teal representing uncertainty around these figures.

Razorbill

 

(Non-breeding season)

Mortality Level

(% of displaced birds at risk of mortality)

Displacement Level

(% of all birds on site)

 

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

10%

15%

20%

30%

50%

80%

100%

0%

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

10%

0

9

18

27

35

44

88

131

175

262

437

698

873

20%

0

18

35

53

70

88

175

262

349

524

873

1396

1745

30%

0

27

53

79

105

131

262

393

524

785

1309

2094

2617

40%

0

35

70

105

140

175

349

524

698

1047

1745

2792

3489

50%

0

44

88

131

175

219

437

655

873

1309

2181

3489

4361

60%

0

53

105

157

210

262

524

785

1047

1570

2617

4187

5234

70%

0

62

123

184

245

306

611

916

1222

1832

3053

4885

6106

80%

0

70

140

210

280

349

698

1047

1396

2094

3489

5583

6978

90%

0

79

157

236

314

393

785

1178

1570

2355

3925

6280

7850

 

100%

0

88

175

262

349

437

873

1309

1745

2617

4361

6978

8722

Table 4.13: Potential razorbill mortality following displacement from the Berwick Bank Development array plus 2 km buffer in the spring migration (non-breeding) period. Estimates considered, in light of empirical evidence, to represent the most realistic scenarios are colour coded, with dark teal representing rates advised by the Scoping Opinion; orange representing rates defined by the Developer Approach; and light teal representing uncertainty around these figures.

Razorbill

 

(Spring migration)

Mortality Level

(% of displaced birds at risk of mortality)

Displacement Level

(% of all birds on site)

 

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

10%

15%

20%

30%

50%

80%

100%

0%

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

10%

0

7

15

22

30

37

75

112

150

224

374

598

748

20%

0

15

30

45

60

75

150

224

299

449

748

1197

1496

30%

0

22

45

67

90

112

224

337

449

673

1122

1795

2244

40%

0

30

60

90

120

150

299

449

598

898

1496

2394

2992

50%

0

37

75

112

150

187

374

561

748

1122

1870

2992

3740

60%

0

45

90

135

180

224

449

673

898

1346

2244

3590

4488

70%

0

52

105

157

209

262

524

785

1047

1571

2618

4189

5236

80%

0

60

120

180

239

299

598

898

1197

1795

2992

4787

5984

90%

0

67

135

202

269

337

673

1010

1346

2020

3366

5386

6732

100%

0

75

150

224

299

374

748

1122

1496

2244

3740

5984

7480


Table 4.14: Potential razorbill mortality following displacement from the Berwick Bank Development array plus 2 km buffer in the autumn migration (non-breeding) period. Estimates considered, in light of empirical evidence, to represent the most realistic scenarios are colour coded, with dark teal representing rates advised by the Scoping Opinion; orange representing rates defined by the Developer Approach; and light teal representing uncertainty around these figures.

Razorbill

 

(Autumn migration)

Mortality Level

(% of displaced birds at risk of mortality)

Displacement Level

(% of all birds on site)

 

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

10%

15%

20%

30%

50%

80%

100%

0%

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

10%

0

9

18

27

35

44

88

133

177

265

442

708

885

20%

0

18

35

53

71

88

177

265

354

531

885

1416

1770

30%

0

27

53

80

106

133

265

398

531

796

1327

2124

2655

40%

0

35

71

106

142

177

354

531

708

1062

1770

2832

3540

50%

0

44

88

133

177

221

442

664

885

1327

2212

3540

4424

60%

0

53

106

159

212

265

531

796

1062

1593

2655

4248

5309

70%

0

62

124

186

248

310

619

929

1239

1858

3097

4955

6194

80%

0

71

142

212

283

354

708

1062

1416

2124

3540

5663

7079

90%

0

80

159

239

319

398

796

1195

1593

2389

3982

6371

7964

100%

0

88

177

265

354

442

885

1327

1770

2655

4424

7079

8849

 

Table 4.15: Potential razorbill mortality following displacement from the Berwick Bank Development array plus 2 km buffer in the winter (non-breeding) period. Estimates considered, in light of empirical evidence, to represent the most realistic scenarios are colour coded, with dark teal representing rates advised by the Scoping Opinion; orange representing rates defined by the Developer Approach; and light teal representing uncertainty around these figures.

Razorbill

 

(Winter)

Mortality Level

(% of displaced birds at risk of mortality)

Displacement Level

(% of all birds on site)

 

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

10%

15%

20%

30%

50%

80%

100%

0%

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

10%

0

1

3

4

6

7

14

21

28

42

70

112

140

20%

0

3

6

8

11

14

28

42

56

84

140

224

280

30%

0

4

8

13

17

21

42

63

84

126

210

336

420

40%

0

6

11

17

22

28

56

84

112

168

280

448

560

50%

0

7

14

21

28

35

70

105

140

210

350

560

700

60%

0

8

17

25

34

42

84

126

168

252

420

672

839

70%

0

10

20

29

39

49

98

147

196

294

490

783

979

80%

0

11

22

34

45

56

112

168

224

336

560

895

1119

90%

0

13

25

38

50

63

126

189

252

378

630

1007

1259

100%

0

14

28

42

56

70

140

210

280

420

700

1119

1399